The Future

[Tassie]

Th future
> This brings to mind Anthony Hopkins famous movie quote"Bet you didn't
> see that coming did you"?​WOW  !!!  GET READY FOR THE FUTURE
>
>
> The FUTURE is approaching  faster  than one can
> handle....!            In 1998, Kodak had  170,000 employees and
> sold  85% of all photo paper  worldwide.          Within just a few
> years,  their business model disappeared and they went  bankrupt.
> What  happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the
> next  10 years and, most people  won't see it coming.
> Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never  take pictures
> on film again?        Yet digital cameras were  invented in 1975.  The
> first ones only had  10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law.  So as
> with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time,
> before it became way superior and became mainstream in only a few short
> years.  It will now happen  again with Artificial Intelligence, health,
> autonomous and  electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture
> and  jobs.  Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.  Welcome to the
> Exponential  Age .                          Software will disrupt
> most  traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.            Uber
> is just a software tool,  they don't own any cars, and are now the
> biggest  taxi company in the  world. Airbnb is now the biggest
> hotel  company in the world, although they don't own any  properties.
> Artificial  Intelligence:  Computers become exponentially better in
> understanding the world .  This year, a computer beat the best Go-
> player in the world,  10 years  earlier than expected..In the US ,
> young  lawyers already don't get jobs.  Because of IBM's Watson, you
> can get legal advice  (so far for more or less basic stuff) within
> seconds, with  90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done
> by  humans.So if you study law, stop  immediately.  There will be 90%
> less lawyers in the  future, only specialists will  remain. Watson
> already helps nurses diagnosing cancer,  its 4 times more accurate
> than  human nurses. Facebook now has a  pattern recognition software
> that can recognize faces  better than humans.  In 2030, computers will
> become more intelligent than humans. (NEVER!/Albert)Autonomous  cars  :
> In 2018 the first self-driving cars  will appear for the public. Around
> 2020, the complete industry will  start to be disrupted. You don't want
> to own a car  anymore.  You will call a car with your phone, it will
> show up at your  location and drive you to your destination. You will
> not need to  park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can
> be  productive while driving.Our kids will never get a  driver's
> license and will never own a car. It will change the cities,  because
> we will need 90-95% less cars for that.  We can transform former
> parking spaces into parks.1.2 million people die each  year in car
> accidents worldwide.  We now have one accident every 60,
> 000  miles  (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to 1
> accident in  6 million miles  (10 million km). That will save  a million
> lives each  year.Most car companies will  probably become
> bankrupt.  Traditional car companies  try the evolutionary approach and
> just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla,
> Apple,  Google)  will do the revolutionary approach and build a
> computer on  wheels.Many engineers from  Volkswagen and Audi; are
> completely terrified of  Tesla.Insurance  companies will have massive
> trouble  because without accidents, the insurance will
> become  100 x cheaper.  Their car insurance business model will
> disappear. Real  estate  will change.  Because if you can work while
> you commute, people  will move further away to live in a more beautiful
> neighborhood. Electric cars will become  mainstream about 2020.  Cities
> will be less noisy  because all new cars will run on
> electricity. Electricity will become  incredibly cheap and
> clean:  Solar production has been  on an exponential curve for 30
> years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact.Last year, more solar
> energy  was installed worldwide than fossil.  Energy
> companies  are desperately trying to limit  access to the grid to
> prevent competition from home solar  installations, but that can't
> last.  Technology will take care of  that strategy With cheap
> electricity comes  cheap and abundant water. Desalination  of
> salt  water now only needs 2 kWh per cubic meter (@  0.25 cents). We
> don't have  scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking
> water.  Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean
> water as he wants, for nearly no cost. Health: The  Tricorder  X
> price  will be announced this year.  There are companies who will build
> a  medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star Trek) that
> works  with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood
> sample  and you breath into it.It then analyses  54 bio-markers that
> will identify nearly  any disease..  It will be cheap, so in a  few
> years everyone on this planet will have access to world class  medical
> analysis, nearly for free Goodbye, medical  establishment 3D printing:
> The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from  $18,000 to $400
> within 10 years. In the same time, it  became 100 times faster. All
> major  shoe companies have already started 3D printing  shoes.Some
> spare airplane parts  are already 3D printed in remote airports.  The
> space station now has a printer that eliminates the  need for the large
> amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.At the end of this
> year, new  smart phones will have 3D scanning possibilities.  You can
> then 3D scan your feet and print  your perfect shoe at home. In China,
> they already  3D printed and built a  complete 6-story office
> building.  By  2027, 10% of everything that's being  produced will be
> 3D printed.Business  opportunities: If you think of a niche  you want
> to go in, first ask yourself: "In the future, do I think we will have
> that?" and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner?If
> it doesn't work with your phone, forget the idea.  And any idea
> designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to failure in the
> 21st century.            Work : 70-80% of jobs will disappear in  the
> next 20 years. There will be a lot  of new jobs, but it is not clear if
> there will be enough new jobs in such a short time.  This will require
> a rethink on wealth distribution.              Agriculture : There will
> be a  $100 agricultural robot in the future.  Farmers in 3rd world
> countries can then  become managers of their field instead of working
> all day on their  fields. Aeroponics will need much less water.  The
> first Petri dish produced veal, is now available and will be  cheaper
> than cow produced veal in 2018. Right now,  30% of all
> agricultural  surfaces is used for cows.  Imagine if we don't need that
> space  anymore.There are several start-ups  who will bring insect
> protein to the market shortly.  It contains  more protein than meat. It
> will be labelled as "alternative protein source"  (because most people
> still reject the idea of eating  insects).There is an app
> called  "moodies" which can already tell in  which mood you?re
> in.  By  2020 there will be apps that can  tell by your facial
> expressions, if you are lying.  Imagine a  political debate where it's
> being displayed when they?re telling the truth and when they?re not.
Regards

[davureborn]

http://www.worldhealth.net/news/predictions-technology-health/

[Tassie]

I don't understand the necessity to repeat what has already been presented.
Regards

[davureborn]

I don't understand the necessity to repeat what has already been presented.
Regards

I don't understand the point of copy / posting directly from a website onto a discussion forum.

[Tassie]

Should I get your permission first before I post anything?
Regards

[davureborn]

Should I get your permission first before I post anything?
Regards

Not at all. carry on, be my guest.

[Tassie]

davureborn, this isn't just a discussion forum but includes information sharing as it  is with jokes and other items.  Forum members should be free to  discuss anything that is posted.
Regards

[iammike]

@Tassie.

I fully agree that you share information, but maybe next time when you post it also include a link to the article and that was the only thing that Daveu has done.

[Tassie]

ianmike, why oh? why does one have to provide a link?  I don't need to confirm the source unless it helps to disseminate information for further investigation.  The information was posted and does not need to repeat itself as daveuborn had done by posting a link.  Do I need a link to post jokes or talk about general information that is not life altering, house, vehicles etc. or non-political?  Cannot it be posted under the General Discussion board, as it was? ?Feel free to talk about anything and everything in this board?. I think not, therefor those that are so offended by a person not providing a link can refuse to read the contribution from the contributor.  There are some times when a link is useful, essential and important to follow up a posting for further information or brevity.  On those occasions I will post a link.
Regards

[iammike]

Up 2 U.

If I post something something from the Web, I will also post the link where it comes from.

But oke you don't, that is your good right.

Have a Nice day !

[Starman]

ianmike, why oh? why does one have to provide a link?  I don't need to confirm the source unless it helps to disseminate information for further investigation.  The information was posted and does not need to repeat itself as daveuborn had done by posting a link.  Do I need a link to post jokes or talk about general information that is not life altering, house, vehicles etc. or non-political?  Cannot it be posted under the General Discussion board, as it was? ?Feel free to talk about anything and everything in this board?. I think not, therefor those that are so offended by a person not providing a link can refuse to read the contribution from the contributor.  There are some times when a link is useful, essential and important to follow up a posting for further information or brevity.  On those occasions I will post a link.
Regards

There are some people on here who simply can't get by without links. Same as the people who can't find anywhere with out GPS Co ordinates or Google maps. I have been called a liar, amongst other things, because I have not posted a link to prove something that I have posted.

@Tassie, probably best to just let them get on with it. God only knows how they got by in the past without the technology that is available today.

[dimple joe]

Ignoring the petty squabbles and flailing handbags, but concentrating on the opening post.

I am happy that I am too old to be much affected should the predictions come true.

To be honest the future sounds ghastly.

[DeputyDavid]

I agree DJ. They will eventually take the fun out of everything.

[Ahab]

As someone who comes from a background where redundant systems (including manually operated back ups) are required for safety of human life I will never get into a self driving car.

[Tassie]

By  2020 there will be apps that can  tell by your facial
> expressions, if you are lying.  Imagine a  political debate where it's
> being displayed when they?re telling the truth and when they?re not.

This is the one I particularly look forward to.  So many people have been affected by lies and it would be one aspect of human behaviour that would be good riddance,
Regards